SMA Sequence Report · Fri, 13 Nov 2026

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Date SMAs

Universe Market cap

Large = top 100 · Mid = 101–250 · Small = 251–500 · Micro = 501+ by market cap

#1 In-seq · close > SMA 12

#2 Out-of-seq · close > all

#3 In-seq · 48 ≤ close < 36

#4 Out-of-seq · 48 ≤ close < 36

#5 Hammer after a decline

Monthly

Weekly

Today's highlights (all 4 SMAs, all NSE stocks)

Breadth (monthly): 29% of NSE stocks close above all 4 SMAs (#1 + #2) — 520 stocks, down 7 from yesterday.
Breadth (weekly): 25% of NSE stocks close above all 4 SMAs (#1 + #2) — 561 stocks, down 21 from yesterday.
Both timeframes agree: 5 stock(s) newly above all/top SMAs on the monthly chart are also #1/#2 on weekly — ANURAS, GPPL, GULFOILLUB, ALICON, IFBAGRO.
Pullbacks to long-term support (monthly #3): 4 F&O / Large / Mid stock(s) dipped into the SMA 48–36 band while still in sequence — MARUTI, LUPIN, KEI, SCHAEFFLER.
Hammers (monthly): 3 after a decline, candle still forming; all Small/Micro caps — treat with extra caution — CLEAN, RAJMET, EUROTEXIND.
Hammers (weekly): 5 after a decline, all confirmed (candle complete); all Small/Micro caps — treat with extra caution — EBGNG, VADILENT, BEEKAY, SHARDUL, HAZOOR.
New monthly uptrends in Large/Mid caps (#1): POWERINDIA.
Left monthly #1 (F&O): SHRIRAMFIN, HINDALCO, CANBK, MANAPPURAM — the close slipped below SMA 12 or the order broke.
High delivery on new entries: SCHAEFFLER entered a scenario today with ≥ 60% delivery (more shares taken home than traded intraday).

New today only

Stock	Cat	CloseMCap ₹Cr	Day	SMA 12	24	36	48	Key %	Days	Wkly

–

Method. Daily OHLC from NSE (latest day = official bhavcopy) with split/bonus-adjusted history. Weekly (Mon–Fri) and monthly candles; the current, in-progress candle is included, as on TradingView. SMA = simple moving average of candle closes. In-sequence means SMA 12 > SMA 24 > SMA 36 > SMA 48 (the SMAs ticked at the top; at least 2). With fewer SMAs ticked the rules use the shortest ticked SMA for #1 and the two longest for #3/#4; with exactly 2 ticked, #4 can't occur. #5 Hammer after a decline: the current week's/month's candle has a lower shadow at least 2× its body and an upper shadow of at most 10% of its full range (body green or red); the previous candle closed below its SMA 12 and the hammer's low is the lowest of the last 5 candles. The current candle can still change until the week/month closes; hammers can also be in #1–#4 and carry a Hammer tag.
Columns. Cat = scenario on the chart you're viewing. Key % = distance of the close from the scenario's reference SMA (#5: lower shadow as % of the candle's range). Days = consecutive trading days in the scenario, counting today (1 = NEW today; 260+ ≈ a year or more). Wkly / Mthly = the same stock's scenario on the other chart — when both agree, the setup is stronger; “–” = no scenario, “n/a” = under 4 years of history.
Universes. F&O = stocks with derivatives on NSE (218). All NSE = every listed company trading in the EQ or BE series (2,589; ETFs, funds and bonds excluded).
Market-cap buckets. Every evening all NSE stocks are ranked by NSE's official full market cap (shares × close) for the day: Large = rank 1–100 · Mid = 101–250 · Small = 251–500 · Micro = 501 and below. This follows SEBI/AMFI's rank cut-offs (AMFI uses a 6-month average and updates twice a year, so a few boundary stocks may differ); Micro is added to separate the long tail from true small caps.

Excluded today (2) — data could not be verified

BNAGROCHEM (Yahoo prev close 15.49 vs NSE 154.92 — likely an unadjusted split/bonus; excluded today); PASHUPATI (Yahoo prev close 33.48 vs NSE 83.69 — likely an unadjusted split/bonus; excluded today)

Data notes (1)

QUINTEGRA: Yahoo close 3.73 replaced by NSE close 3.80

How to read these signals. #1 (in sequence, close above the shortest SMA) = an established uptrend; strongest when the other timeframe agrees (Wkly/Mthly column). #2 (out of sequence, close above all) = price has run ahead of a trend that isn't aligned yet — often an early turn, but also more false starts. #3 (in sequence, close between the two longest SMAs) = an uptrend pulling back to its long-term average; the classic long-term entry zone if that average holds. #4 = the same band without an aligned trend — weaker. #5 Hammer = buyers rejected lower prices after a decline; on its own a weak signal.
Context matters more than any single signal: prefer signals that agree on weekly and monthly; a hammer at support (#3/#4, tag shown) over one in mid-air; Hammer ✓ Confirmed (week/month closed) over a forming candle — a Wednesday weekly hammer can be gone by Friday. Large and Mid caps and high delivery % are more reliable; in thin Small/Micro caps a single large order can create a long wick or a false breakout. Academic studies generally find candlestick patterns alone have little predictive power after costs — use this as a shortlist for your own analysis, not a buy list.

Evidence from history — what happened in the 12 months after each scenario fired, 2006–2026 (422,734 signals, 2,129 stocks)

Each cell: Beat = % of signals that did better over 12 months than the typical (median) stock of the same size on the same day — 50% means no edge · Median = median 12-month return. Grey = fewer than 30 signals. Best: Weekly #1 In-seq · close > SMA 12 in Micro caps (53% beat). Weakest: Monthly #4 Out-of-seq · 48 ≤ close < 36 in Large caps (42% beat).

Chart · scenario	Large	Mid	Small	Micro	All
Any stock-day (no signal)	67% up · +14.7%	62% up · +12.8%	61% up · +12.2%	51% up · +1.7%	54% up · +5.1%
Monthly #1 In-seq · close > SMA 12	49% · +14.9%	50% · +13.6%	50% · +9.0%	51% · +0.6%	51% · +5.1%
Monthly #2 Out-of-seq · close > all	45% · +13.8%	51% · +15.9%	53% · +17.3%	52% · +9.4%	52% · +11.3%
Monthly #3 In-seq · 48 ≤ close < 36	49% · +17.8%	45% · +12.9%	45% · +2.2%	48% · -12.9%	46% · -6.7%
Monthly #4 Out-of-seq · 48 ≤ close < 36	42% · +12.8%	46% · +13.3%	47% · +11.8%	51% · -0.1%	49% · +3.9%
Monthly #5 Hammer after a decline (forming)	47% · +13.3%	50% · +10.7%	46% · +1.6%	47% · -7.2%	47% · -2.8%
Monthly #5 Hammer after a decline (confirmed candle)	40% · +4.1%	48% · +12.4%	42% · -3.6%	46% · -3.1%	47% · -1.2%
Weekly #1 In-seq · close > SMA 12	52% · +13.5%	51% · +13.9%	51% · +11.9%	53% · +7.7%	54% · +9.6%
Weekly #2 Out-of-seq · close > all	47% · +14.4%	49% · +13.0%	50% · +14.0%	51% · +6.4%	51% · +8.7%
Weekly #3 In-seq · 48 ≤ close < 36	49% · +11.4%	46% · +7.1%	51% · +5.2%	51% · -3.3%	51% · +0.0%
Weekly #4 Out-of-seq · 48 ≤ close < 36	47% · +10.3%	46% · +4.9%	49% · +5.2%	50% · -2.1%	50% · +0.4%
Weekly #5 Hammer after a decline (forming)	48% · +15.1%	47% · +11.1%	47% · +7.3%	49% · -0.9%	49% · +2.0%
Weekly #5 Hammer after a decline (confirmed candle)	44% · +12.1%	48% · +13.6%	46% · +6.9%	49% · +0.0%	49% · +2.8%

Caveats: Survivorship bias: only companies listed today are included; delisted/failed stocks are missing, which flatters returns, most of all for Small/Micro caps. Look-ahead in size buckets: each stock's market-cap bucket is today's, applied to its whole history. Overlapping, clustered events: entries bunch up in market-wide rallies and sell-offs and forward windows overlap, so the effective number of independent observations is far lower than n. No transaction costs, slippage, taxes or dividends (prices are split/bonus-adjusted closes). Educational analysis of past data; it does not predict future results.

Disclaimer. Educational screening output generated automatically from public market data. It is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Verify on your own charts before trading.
Charts by TradingView Lightweight Charts™ (Apache-2.0). Generated 15 Nov 2026 13:50 IST · v0.1.0